Monday, September 28, 2015

The Truth About the Refugee Crisis

The images seeping out of Europe have painted a shocking picture of the growing refugee crisis. Photographs of a dead Syrian toddler have touched millions. Pictures of swarms of desperate people crowding train stations and emaciated children sleeping on sidewalks have shaken the world.

Amid these heart-breaking news portraits, little has been written to document the scale of the torrent of humanity invading Europe.  Facts, often elusive in the throes of a crisis, are beginning to come to light and the numbers paint a far different picture than the provocative television and media reports.

Most of the wave of people flooding Europe are not from Syria and the majority are not refugees. According to the latest European Union statistics, of the 213,000 people who fled to Europe from April through June only 44,000 (or one of every five) are from Syria.

The United Nations estimates that four million Syrians have departed their country and are now abroad.  Many have landed in neighboring countries, such as Jordan, Lebanon and Turkey.  Migrants from other countries have taken advantage of the situation to join the wave invading Europe.

Immigrants from Afghanistan, Albania, Eritrea, Iraq, Pakistan, Somalia and Kosovo are escaping their countries in unison with the refugees. Numbers are hard to come by, but Frontex estimates more than half a million immigrants have arrived in Europe, tagging along with the refugees.

Frontex is the European Union agency that deals with immigration issues, including human trafficking and illegal migrants.

The total number of requests for asylum in the 28-member European Union currently stands at 592,000.  And the applications are mushrooming each day.  Add to that more than 500,000 migrants illegally crossing European borders and you have an crisis of epic proportions.

This tide of humanity has swamped the resources of European countries. Bankrupt Greece has watched as 181,488 refugees have rushed into the country.  Some nations, such as Austria, have erected border controls to stem the onrush before their nation collapses in chaos.

Meanwhile, in the United States, the Obama Administration keeps upping the ante on how many refugees the country will accept.  On September 11, The White House promised to welcome 10,000 Syrian refugees.  Ten days later, Secretary of State John Kerry raised the number to 185,000.

Under Kerry's plan, the country would take in 85,000 Syrian refugees next year and 100,000 in 2017 after President Obama leaves office. Some in the world community, including Pope Francis, have urged the United States to fling open its borders and grant asylum to thousands more.

The jaundiced propaganda is aimed at casting America as a closed society with no compassion for displaced refugees. Like so many prejudiced judgments, it is unequivocally false.

Statistics issued by The World Bank show there were 263,662 refugees residing in the U.S. in 2013, the latest year for which figures are available.  That number far exceeds refugees in developed countries, including the United Kingdom, Mexico, Japan, India and Russia.

In 2013, American rolled out the red carpet for 69,909 refugees.  Of that number, 25,199 were granted asylum, Homeland Security figures show.  Refugee admissions to the U.S. have been growing steadily since 2002, debunking the notion America has not done enough.

About 27 percent of the refugees who received U.S. asylum migrated from Iraq.  Other countries sending refugees in large numbers included Bhutan and Burma.  Asylum requests from Syrians last year accounted for less than one percent of the total.

The largest flow ever recorded of refugees to America followed the passage of the landmark Displaced Persons Act of 1948.  After Congress approved the measure, the U.S. opened its doors to 400,000 Eastern European refugees.  No country has even come close to that kind of refugee intake.

For centuries, America has been a sanctuary for refugees.  It is part of the country's DNA to receive with open arms those fleeing from oppression.  To suggest otherwise, is to ignore history and to deny the American experience.  

Monday, September 21, 2015

It's the Economy, Stupid

American voters historically care most about pocketbook issues. Foreign policy, immigration, nuclear treaties, the federal budget and even government debt, while important, are tucked away in the backseat. That political lesson seems to be wasted on presidential candidates this season.

Yet polls show that Americans overwhelmingly believe Mr. Obama's policies have failed to revive the country's economy.  In the latest Gallup survey, exactly one-half of Americans think the economy is getting worse.  Despite the evidence, no candidate has tackled voters' concern about the economy.  

America's economy, as measured by the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), has limped along since the 2008 recession. The GDP is one of the primary indicators used to measure the health of world economies. It represents the total dollar value of all goods and services the country produces.

The world's largest economy has not reached three percent annual GDP growth during Obama's tenure. Since 1948, U.S. economic growth has averaged 3.23 percent annually.  A three percent growth rate is one sign of a flourishing economy.  

In six recoveries from past recessions the American economy averaged 3.97 percent growth after 23 quarters.  The average annual growth rate for the Obama economy is 2.24 percent, stamping it as the weakest recovery in U.S. history.  That fact has been buried by the mainstream media.      

The highest annual GDP growth achieved under Obama was 2.5 percent in 2010, according to figures published by The World Bank.  Last year's growth was 2.4 percent.  This tortoise-like expansion has been recorded despite the federal government borrowing more than $7 trillion in the last six years.

How bad is America's economic track record?  Here is a partial list of nations that beat U.S. GDP growth last year: Algeria, Kenya, Bangladesh, Guyana, Burundi, Honduras, Mongolia, Mali, Nepal and Bahrain.  Not exactly a who's who of world economic heavyweights.

While the U.S. economy resembles a 100-pound weakling, China's growth has out muscled the rest of the world.  It has been increasing GDP by 7 percent or more since 2010.  For all the talk about a slowdown in China's economy, it still expanded 7.4 percent last year.

America's economic malaise has hit wage earners where it hurts most. Inflation-adjusted wage growth has been almost flat, according to the Economic Policy Institute. Average hourly earnings for private sector jobs have risen $3.52 since 2008.  That's about 50-cents per hour annually.  

The percentage of Americans in the labor force is at a 38-year low of 62.6 percent.  It was 65.7 percent when President Obama arrived in the Oval Office.  Americans are fleeing the work force at an alarming pace, partly because of the retirements of the Baby Boomer generation.

Another factor behind the decline is the rip tide of Americans signing up for Social Security disability insurance.  The number of disability applications more than doubled between 2000 and 2010.  As a result, there are nearly 9 million Americans now receiving disability benefits from the government.

Not helping matters, the number of part-time workers has soared to 18.1 percent of the labor force. Many of them want full-time jobs but cannot find one.  In a recent paper, the Federal Reserve of Chicago found a strong link between slow wage growth and the uptick in part-time workers.

From his perch in the White House, President Obama spins all this ugly economic news as Republican chatter.  He brags that he personally saved America from a second Great Depression. Unemployment has nosedived below 6 percent, he crows to reinforce his egotistical boast.

However, low unemployment usually means higher wages because of the demand for new workers. Hasn't happened.  It nearly always results in more economic activity as consumers increase spending. Hasn't happened.  Full-time payrolls should be swelling.  Hasn't happened.

Mr. Obama's legacy will be a flaccid economy that never achieved lift-off despite massive spending and record debt.  The next president must be prepared to jump start the American growth engine. It would be encouraging for voters to hear candidates airing ideas on their plans for economic revival.

Monday, September 14, 2015

How Educators Are Failing America

An estimated 2.8 million newly-minted college graduates have a framed certificate but little else. Universities are churning out students who are woefully unprepared for today's job market.  The situation has created a crisis that threatens to undermine the nation's economic growth.

A number of surveys, including a recent one by the Gallup polling organization, underscore the disconnect between the skills required by today's businesses and the academic preparation offered by most of the nation's 4,700 community colleges and four-year universities

In the Gallup study, only 11 percent of business leaders strongly agreed that graduates had the necessary skills and competencies to succeed in the workplace.  Employers are not interested in theoretical learning. They want proof of a graduate's ability to execute required skills.

In today's workplace, computers and robots have replaced the mundane tasks once performed by low and mid-level employees.  Jobs today require critical thinking, problem-solving, the ability to work in teams, and technological competency.   These skills are seriously lacking in many graduates.

This is not a new phenomenon.  For decades, businesses have been trying to convince academia to change course.  But colleges may be the most stubborn, hide-bound of all institutions.  Rapid change undermines their propensity for incremental advances.

For example, a survey conducted by Inside Higher Ed with Gallup showed 96 percent of academic officers thought their schools were doing a good job of preparing students for the future.  These leaders obviously are not spending much time asking business people about their job requirements.

Frankly, they don't care.  Their mushy academic goal is molding young minds.  Businesses and the economy have very specific requirements. Virtually every job at American business firms, large and small, is changing at the fastest rate ever.  Colleges are not keeping up with the pace of innovation.

Technology is creating new jobs, but destroying old ones along the way. Jobs for administrative assistants and secretaries are nearly extinct. Data entry clerks are dinosaurs. IT positions, once the golden goose, are being automated and outsourced.  Even agricultural work is computer-driven.

As the economy undergoes titanic shifts, companies require workers who are life-long learners equipped to deal with ambiguity and nonstop change.  Unfortunately, one of the downsides created by this economic metamorphosis is a shrinkage in businesses' investment in human capital.  

Consider in 1979 General Motors, then the world's largest car company, had a payroll of 853,000 people. Today four of the world's high-tech behemoths, Facebook, Amazon, Apple and Goggle, employ fewer than 150,000 workers combined.  And these firms are all recruiting talent outside the U.S.

Colleges are cheating today's generation by not recognizing the need for more grads with mathematics, statistics, engineering and computer science training.  They are not producing graduates
armed with interpersonal characteristics, problem-solving skills or oral communications talent.

Instead, universities are rushing to add courses in Gender Inquiry, Diversity Training and African-American Studies.   Meanwhile, students are paying more and getting less relevant educations. Students and graduates have racked up $1.2 trillion in debt underwritten by American taxpayers.

Debt-ridden graduates face an appalling future.  Recent data published by Forbes shows that 44 percent of colleges grads in their 20's are stuck in low-wage, dead-end jobs.  The number of young people earning less than $25,000 a year has risen to the highest level since the 1990's.

America needs a world class workforce to remain the global economic leader.  College and university presidents need to climb off their academic high horses and begin preparing the next generation of workers with marketable skills instead of dishing out theoretical nonsense.

Without discernible change in academia, American businesses will lose their premier position in the competitive world because of the lack of skilled workers.  If that happens, this nation's colleges and universities will deserve more than a failing grade. They will cease to be relevant institutions.

Monday, September 7, 2015

Can America Regain Its Superpower Mojo?

Of all the mistakes made by President Obama, none are more glaring than his deliberate, calculated effort to weaken the United States' position as the world's superpower.  From his early days in office, the president has ridiculed American exceptionalism and surrendered the nation's global leadership.

The president's supporters who adhere to his isolationist agenda argue that Mr. Obama has restored international goodwill toward America. They claim without any proof that our allies and our enemies both like the United States better because the president has shown deference to other nations.

What should be clear to any student of foreign policy is that international peace and tranquility do not depend on chumminess. Power, stability, credibility and shared interests are the glue that keeps world order.  But ultimately one country must accept the mantle of leadership on these principles.

That role naturally has fallen to the United States.  President Roosevelt once penned these words, "Great power involves great responsibility." As the world's economic and military titan, America cannot shrink from the world stage.  If it withdraws, the power vacuum will be filled by others.

Look what has happened since Mr. Obama's global disengagement.  The Middle East is a powder keg with Iran holding the fuse.  The sleeping bear Russia has reawakened with intentions of rebuilding its former Soviet empire.  China is assembling a potent military, threatening stability in Asia.

Under Mr. Obama, America has become nothing more than a paper tiger.  The president drew a red-line in Syria and then obliterated it. He demanded Russia stop its aggression in the Ukraine, but he backed up the threat with hollow sanctions that have failed to deter President Putin.  

His nuclear deal with Iran does nothing to address the mullahs' sponsorship of terror throughout the region. Mr. Obama's actions have shown the world that America is reluctant to behave like a superpower. This sign of weaknesses has led to more instability instead of promoting peace.

In Mr. Obama's mind, the absence of American involvement in foreign conflicts, such as Iraq and Afghanistan, are signs of his foreign policy success. No serious policy expert is suggesting America needs to be on war footing to fulfill its superpower role.  But America cannot lead by vacillating.

The challenge facing the next president will be how to regain America's rightful position as the world's global force for good.  A powerful U.S., both economically and militarily, must accept the responsibility of providing that leadership.  Isolation from the world is a prescription for chaos.

Historians partly blame American isolation for World War I and World War II when the United States was reluctant to intervene before the conflicts engulfed much of the world.  If America once again chooses to watch world events from the sidelines, the results will be catastrophic.  

For the most part, the world's leaders expect America to be the superpower.  Over the decades, the United States has both been chastised and applauded for its intervention in global affairs.  But when crises arise, often contentious issues cannot be solved without the involvement of America.

That's why the U.S. cannot afford to withdraw from the world.  If it does, the country will lose any ability to shape global events, including trade.  A toothless America is a scary thought because it raises the chilling prospect of a world dictated by Russia, China or Iran.    

The next president can regain a measure of respect by clearly articulating America's foreign policy goals and backing it up with unwavering courage.  Mr. Obama's incoherent policy, characterized by his "pivot" to Asia, has produced backpedalling on issues causing leaders to question U.S. resolve.

America's new leader must redefine the nation's strategic interests in the world.  Public opinion on the home front has dissuaded politicians from committing American military forces abroad.  While America cannot solve all the world's problems, the nation must honor its security agreements.

America's worldwide military presence is a deterrence to war, not an invitation to escalate hostilities. That's why the next president must revive the nation's military after nearly seven years of cuts in manpower and weapons.  The military ranks have been thinned to their lowest level in six decades.

America has the strength to recapture is superpower status.  It won't be easy because so much ground has been squandered by Mr. Obama. America's economic and military strength can still be parlayed into a seat at the head of the world's nations, if the next president moves expeditiously.

Reclaiming superpower status is critical to the country's ability to influence events, to protect its interests and to promote peaceful resolution of global conflicts.